Laguna

Luca Adria

Wind nowcasting for the upper Adriatic Sea.

Born in '77, living in Padua, IT guy.

Recently fell in love with sailing sports; I immediately found the North Adriatic winds to be a bit cryptic. Partly because it's an interesting problem, partly in the hope of spending more time on the water, I've started getting into wind forecasting.

Contact: luca@lucaadria.it


Spots

Sottomarina Diga (Beta!) - Chioggia, VE · 45.23 N, 12.30 E · live nowcast, model v3c (MAE +1h = 1.41 kts). LSTM locale + Kalman per-regime attivi.

Grado (Data Gathering Phase) - Grado, UD · 45.68 N, 13.40 E · live OSMER + Open-Meteo; LSTM v1 attivo (card +1h), Kalman per-regime attivo. Storico 25 mesi.

Navene (Data Gathering Phase) - Garda nord / Malcesine, VR · 45.76 N, 10.81 E · live MeteoProject + Meteotrentino; raw Open-Meteo forecast. Storico 7 mesi (backfill MeteoProject), bias locale in arrivo.

Santa Croce (Data Gathering Phase) - Lago di Santa Croce / Alpago, BL · 46.10 N, 12.37 E · live ARPAV Col Indes + cluster Belluno; raw Open-Meteo forecast.

Premantura (Data Gathering Phase) - Cape Kamenjak, Pula (Istria, HR) · 44.78 N, 13.91 E · live DHMZ Pula-aerodrom + cluster Adriatico orientale (Senj Bora key); raw Open-Meteo forecast. Primo spot Croazia, accumulo appena iniziato.

Savudrija (Data Gathering Phase) - Istria NW (HR, border SI) · 45.49 N, 13.49 E · live ARSO Portorož-Sečovlje (~10 km N) + contesto DHMZ Rijeka/Pula; raw Open-Meteo forecast, nessuna correzione locale.


Data sources


Scientific literature


Upstream signals map

Double-headed arrows: validated pressure-gradient pairs. Single arrows at stations: most probable wind direction for their regime.


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